Primera División - Apertura · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
Progreso
Home
1-0
Full time
Parque Abraham Paladino
Deportivo Maldonado
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.04 - 1.93
Win probability
Home
14%
Draw
21%
Away
65%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Progreso wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Maldonado wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
33%
5%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
14%
Win probability
65%
Match Preview & Analysis
Progreso face Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División - Apertura. Progreso have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 0 and conceding 2 (0 points per game). Deportivo Maldonado have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Deportivo Maldonado's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 65% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Deportivo Maldonado to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 14% win probability for Progreso, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 65% probability for Deportivo Maldonado. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Maldonado Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Parque Abraham Paladino as part of the Primera División - Apertura.
