Esiliiga A · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
Tallinna Kalev
Home
3-1
Full time
Kadrioru Staadion
Nõmme United II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
16%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
0
Draws
0
Nõmme United II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
16%
95%
Attack
75%
22%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Tallinna Kalev
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Nõmme United II
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
4.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Tallinna Kalev | Nõmme United II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 100% 3/3 | Both teams scored | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Tallinna Kalev
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Nõmme United II
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
25%
Behind
75%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tallinna Kalev face Nõmme United II in Esiliiga A. Tallinna Kalev have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.33 points per game). Nõmme United II have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 13 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 78%.
With a 65% probability backing Tallinna Kalev, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tallinna Kalev to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Tallinna Kalev, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Nõmme United II. Our top recommended betting pick is Tallinna Kalev Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 78% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion as part of the Esiliiga A.
