Catarinense - 2 · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
Metropolitano
Home
6-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Jaraguá
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.96 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
94%
Draw
2%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
94%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.46
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Metropolitano wins
0
Draws
0
Jaraguá wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
5%
40%
Attack
6%
33%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
94%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Metropolitano
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Jaraguá
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
6.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Metropolitano | Jaraguá | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 4/5 80% |
At half time
Metropolitano
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Jaraguá
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
20%
Behind
80%
Match Preview & Analysis
Metropolitano face Jaraguá in Catarinense - 2. Metropolitano have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Jaraguá have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 23 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 19%.
With a 94% probability backing Metropolitano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Metropolitano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 94% win probability for Metropolitano, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Jaraguá. Our top recommended betting pick is Metropolitano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.46 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 19%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Catarinense - 2.
