Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
UEFA Nations League · Sunday, 15 Nov 2026
Belgium
Home
14:45
d ::
Roi Baudouin
Italy
Away
Jackpot Selection
Game #12 of 13
Prize: KES 15,000,000
This fixture is featured in the SportyBet Sporty 13 Jackpot
Our recommended jackpot selection is Pick 1 (3/5 confidence).
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Belgium wins
0
Draws
0
Italy wins
26 Sep 2026
Italy
0 - 2
Belgium
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
58%
60%
Attack
58%
53%
Defence
58%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Belgium
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Italy
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Belgium | Italy | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Belgium
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
71%
Level
29%
Behind
0%
Italy
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Belgium face Italy in UEFA Nations League. Belgium have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Italy have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Belgium won 1, Italy won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Belgium, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Italy. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 15 Nov 2026 at 14:45 (East Africa Time) at Roi Baudouin as part of the UEFA Nations League.
