Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Primera B · Sunday, 15 Nov 2026
Envigado
Home
20:50
d ::
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Union Magdalena
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
27%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Envigado wins
1
Draws
1
Union Magdalena wins
03 Nov 2026
Union Magdalena
1 - 1
Envigado
01 Sep 2026
Envigado
0 - 1
Union Magdalena
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
26%
86%
Defence
80%
5%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Envigado
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Union Magdalena
last 8 away from home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Envigado | Union Magdalena | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Envigado
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Union Magdalena
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Envigado face Union Magdalena in Primera B. Envigado have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Union Magdalena have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Envigado won 0, Union Magdalena won 1 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Envigado, home advantage and superior chance creation make Envigado to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Envigado, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Union Magdalena. Our top recommended betting pick is Envigado Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 15 Nov 2026 at 20:50 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur as part of the Primera B.
