Liga de Expansión MX · Wednesday, 11 Nov 2026
Piratas
Home
21:00
d ::
Venue TBC
CA La Paz
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
25%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Piratas wins
0
Draws
1
CA La Paz wins
15 Aug 2026
CA La Paz
2 - 0
Piratas
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
73%
73%
Attack
80%
80%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
27%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Piratas
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
CA La Paz
last 8 away from home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.63
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Piratas | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Piratas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
CA La Paz
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Piratas face CA La Paz in Liga de Expansión MX. Piratas have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game). CA La Paz have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Piratas won 0, CA La Paz won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
CA La Paz's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CA La Paz to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Piratas, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for CA La Paz. Our top recommended betting pick is CA La Paz Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 11 Nov 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
