Paulista Série B · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
Flamengo SP
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Matonense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
26%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Flamengo SP wins
0
Draws
0
Matonense wins
11 Jul 2026
Matonense
0 - 1
Flamengo SP
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
44%
33%
Attack
11%
89%
Defence
89%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
52%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Flamengo SP
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Matonense
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Flamengo SP | Matonense | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Flamengo SP
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Matonense
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Flamengo SP face Matonense in Paulista Série B. Flamengo SP have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2.33 points per game). Matonense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1.33 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Flamengo SP won 1, Matonense won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Flamengo SP, home advantage and superior chance creation make Flamengo SP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Flamengo SP, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Matonense. Our top recommended betting pick is Flamengo SP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Paulista Série B.
