Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Primera B · Sunday, 15 Nov 2026
Union Magdalena
Home
21:00
d ::
Estadio Sierra Nevada
Popayan
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Union Magdalena v Popayan pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Union Magdalena wins
2
Draws
0
Popayan wins
29 Oct 2026
Popayan
1 - 1
Union Magdalena
08 Oct 2026
Popayan
1 - 1
Union Magdalena
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
45%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Union Magdalena
last 8 at home
1W
5D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Popayan
last 8 away from home
3W
0D
5L
1.13
points a game
1.38
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Union Magdalena | Popayan | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Union Magdalena
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Popayan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Union Magdalena face Popayan in Primera B. Union Magdalena have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game). Popayan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Union Magdalena won 0, Popayan won 0 and 2 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Union Magdalena, home advantage and superior chance creation make Union Magdalena to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Union Magdalena, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Popayan. Our top recommended betting pick is Union Magdalena Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 15 Nov 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada as part of the Primera B.
