Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Friendlies · Tuesday, 17 Nov 2026
Japan
Home
13:10
d ::
National Stadium
Paraguay
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
9%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.36
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Japan wins
0
Draws
0
Paraguay wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Japan
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Paraguay
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Japan | Paraguay | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Japan
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Paraguay
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Japan face Paraguay in Friendlies. Japan have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Paraguay have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 87% probability backing Japan, home advantage and superior chance creation make Japan to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Japan, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Paraguay. Our top recommended betting pick is Japan Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.36 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 17 Nov 2026 at 13:10 (East Africa Time) at National Stadium as part of the Friendlies.
