EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 17 Nov 2026
Luton
Home
19:00
d ::
Kenilworth Road
Peterborough
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
8%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.37
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Luton wins
0
Draws
0
Peterborough wins
31 Oct 2026
Peterborough
0 - 2
Luton
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
6%
66%
Attack
13%
80%
Defence
6%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Luton
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.25
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Peterborough
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.38
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Luton | Peterborough | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Luton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
10%
Behind
10%
Peterborough
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
10%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Luton face Peterborough in EFL Trophy. Luton have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Peterborough have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Luton won 1, Peterborough won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing Luton, home advantage and superior chance creation make Luton to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Luton, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Peterborough. Our top recommended betting pick is Luton Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.37 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 17 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Kenilworth Road as part of the EFL Trophy.
