UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, 17 Nov 2026
Poland
Home
19:45
d ::
Venue TBC
Sweden
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Poland wins
0
Draws
0
Sweden wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
41%
95%
Attack
33%
83%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Poland
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
6.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Sweden
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Poland | Sweden | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 1/2 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Poland
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Sweden
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Poland face Sweden in UEFA Nations League. Poland have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 6 and conceding 1 (1.5 points per game). Sweden have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Poland, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Sweden. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 17 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the UEFA Nations League.
