Copa Paraguay · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Deportivo Recoleta
Home
21:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Libertad Asuncion
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
32%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Recoleta wins
0
Draws
2
Libertad Asuncion wins
05 Oct 2026
Deportivo Recoleta
1 - 2
Libertad Asuncion
31 Jul 2026
Libertad Asuncion
4 - 1
Deportivo Recoleta
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
35%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Deportivo Recoleta
last 8 at home
3W
0D
5L
1.13
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Libertad Asuncion
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Recoleta | Libertad Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Deportivo Recoleta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
Libertad Asuncion
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Recoleta face Libertad Asuncion in Copa Paraguay. Deportivo Recoleta have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Libertad Asuncion have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Deportivo Recoleta won 0, Libertad Asuncion won 2 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Deportivo Recoleta, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Libertad Asuncion. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Copa Paraguay.
