Serie A · Wednesday, 18 Nov 2026
Coritiba
Home
22:30
d ::
Venue TBC
Santos
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
27%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Coritiba wins
0
Draws
0
Santos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
14%
Team news
Coritiba
- Lucas Ronier · Knee Injury
- Lucas Taverna · Inactive
- Thiago Santos · Yellow Cards
- Richard · Inactive
- Bruno Melo · Yellow Cards
- Tiago Coser · Inactive
- Pedro Morisco · Inactive
- Keno · Loan agreement
Santos
- Neymar · Suspended
- Thaciano · Muscle Injury
- Willian Arao · Muscle Injury
- Vinicius Lira · Knee Injury
- G. Escobar · Thigh Injury
- Gabriel Brazao · Shoulder Injury
- Joao Schmidt · Yellow Cards
- Lucas Verissimo · Thigh Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Coritiba
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Santos
last 8 away from home
5W
0D
3L
1.88
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Coritiba | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Coritiba
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
70%
Behind
30%
Santos
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Santos |
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Coritiba face Santos in Serie A. Coritiba have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game). Santos have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 59% probability backing Coritiba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Coritiba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Coritiba, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Santos. Our top recommended betting pick is Coritiba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 18 Nov 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie A.
