Division 1 · Thursday, 19 Nov 2026
Burgan
Home
14:20
d ::
Venue TBC
Sporty
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.42
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Burgan wins
0
Draws
1
Sporty wins
20 Aug 2026
Sporty
2 - 4
Burgan
25 Jul 2026
Burgan
0 - 1
Sporty
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
5%
60%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Burgan
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
0.83
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Sporty
last 6 away from home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Burgan | Sporty | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Burgan
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
56%
Behind
33%
Sporty
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
0%
Behind
83%
Match Preview & Analysis
Burgan face Sporty in Division 1. Burgan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Sporty have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 29 (0 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Burgan won 1, Sporty won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Burgan, home advantage and superior chance creation make Burgan to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Burgan, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Sporty. Our top recommended betting pick is Burgan Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 19 Nov 2026 at 14:20 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Division 1.
