Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
Liniers
Home
1-1
Full time
Juan Antonio Arias Stadium
Deportivo Merlo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
25%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Liniers wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
26%
16%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Liniers
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Deportivo Merlo
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Liniers | Deportivo Merlo | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Liniers
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Deportivo Merlo
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
| 18 |
Liniers |
41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | -9 | 45 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Liniers face Deportivo Merlo in Primera B Metropolitana. Liniers have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0.5 points per game). Deportivo Merlo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Liniers, home advantage and superior chance creation make Liniers to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Liniers, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Deportivo Merlo. Our top recommended betting pick is Liniers Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
