Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
San Martín Burzaco
Home
1-2
Full time
Francisco Boga Stadium
Sportivo Italiano
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Martín Burzaco wins
0
Draws
0
Sportivo Italiano wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
66%
25%
Attack
25%
83%
Defence
91%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
San Martín Burzaco
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sportivo Italiano
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| San Martín Burzaco | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
San Martín Burzaco
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Sportivo Italiano
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Sportivo Italiano |
41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | +14 | 69 |
| 11 |
San Martín Burzaco |
41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | -5 | 51 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Martín Burzaco face Sportivo Italiano in Primera B Metropolitana. San Martín Burzaco have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game). Sportivo Italiano have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for San Martín Burzaco, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Sportivo Italiano. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
