Australian Championship · Friday, 20 Nov 2026
South Melbourne
Home
08:30
d ::
Lakeside Stadium
Canberra FC
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.89 - 2.28
Win probability
Home
8%
Draw
11%
Away
81%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
67%
1.40
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
South Melbourne wins
0
Draws
0
Canberra FC wins
29 Oct 2026
Canberra FC
0 - 2
South Melbourne
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
20%
86%
Defence
40%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
8%
Win probability
81%
Home and away record
South Melbourne
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Canberra FC
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| South Melbourne | Canberra FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
South Melbourne
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Canberra FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
South Melbourne |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Canberra FC |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
South Melbourne face Canberra FC in Australian Championship. South Melbourne have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.8 points per game). Canberra FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, South Melbourne won 1, Canberra FC won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Canberra FC's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 81% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Canberra FC to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 8% win probability for South Melbourne, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 81% probability for Canberra FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Canberra FC Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 20 Nov 2026 at 08:30 (East Africa Time) at Lakeside Stadium as part of the Australian Championship.
