Premier League · Friday, 20 Nov 2026
Negelle Arsi
Home
12:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Gamo Chencha
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
11%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Negelle Arsi wins
0
Draws
0
Gamo Chencha wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
8%
46%
Attack
8%
86%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Negelle Arsi
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Gamo Chencha
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Negelle Arsi | Gamo Chencha | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Negelle Arsi
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Gamo Chencha
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Negelle Arsi |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 |
| 18 |
Gamo Chencha |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Negelle Arsi face Gamo Chencha in Premier League. Negelle Arsi have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game). Gamo Chencha have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 87% probability backing Negelle Arsi, home advantage and superior chance creation make Negelle Arsi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Negelle Arsi, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Gamo Chencha. Our top recommended betting pick is Negelle Arsi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 20 Nov 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Premier League.
