AfriPredictions
Paulista Série B · Sunday, 19 Jul 2026
Independente SP
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Sporting Paulinense
Away
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
2%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93% 1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82% 1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75% 1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
W W W
3-0-0
W-D-L
5:0
Goals
3
PPG
W W L
2-0-1
W-D-L
3:1
Goals
2
PPG
Head-to-head
1
Independente SP wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting Paulinense wins
12 Jul 2026 Sporting Paulinense 0 - 1 Independente SP
Why this prediction
95% Recent form 66%
55% Attack 33%
95% Defence 89%
95% Head-to-head 5%
93% Win probability 5%
Home and away record
Independente SP
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Sporting Paulinense
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last 3 matches.
Independente SP Sporting Paulinense
67% 2/3 Over 1.5 goals 1/3 33%
0% 0/3 Over 2.5 goals 0/3 0%
0% 0/3 Over 3.5 goals 0/3 0%
0% 0/3 Both teams scored 0/3 0%
100% 3/3 Kept a clean sheet 2/3 67%
0% 0/3 Failed to score 1/3 33%
At half time
Independente SP
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 0%
Level 100%
Behind 0%
Sporting Paulinense
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 33%
Level 67%
Behind 0%
Match Preview & Analysis

Independente SP face Sporting Paulinense in Paulista Série B. Independente SP have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Sporting Paulinense have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).

In their last 1 meeting on record, Independente SP won 1, Sporting Paulinense won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.

With a 93% probability backing Independente SP, home advantage and superior chance creation make Independente SP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Independente SP, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Sporting Paulinense. Our top recommended betting pick is Independente SP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 19 Jul 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Paulista Série B.
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