AfriPredictions
Paulista Série B · Sunday, 19 Jul 2026
Independente SP
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Sporting Paulinense
Away
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
2%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93% 1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82% 1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75% 1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
W W
2-0-0
W-D-L
3:0
Goals
3
PPG
W L
1-0-1
W-D-L
2:1
Goals
1.5
PPG
Head-to-head
1
Independente SP wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting Paulinense wins
12 Jul 2026 Sporting Paulinense 0 - 1 Independente SP
Why this prediction
95% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 33%
95% Defence 83%
95% Head-to-head 5%
93% Win probability 5%
Match Preview & Analysis

Independente SP face Sporting Paulinense in Paulista Série B. Independente SP have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Sporting Paulinense have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.5 points per game).

In their last 1 meeting on record, Independente SP won 1, Sporting Paulinense won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.

With a 93% probability backing Independente SP, home advantage and superior chance creation make Independente SP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Independente SP, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Sporting Paulinense. Our top recommended betting pick is Independente SP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 19 Jul 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Paulista Série B.
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