Liga Pro · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
LDU de Quito
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Leones del Norte
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
27%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
LDU de Quito wins
0
Draws
0
Leones del Norte wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
77%
26%
Attack
55%
80%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
LDU de Quito
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Leones del Norte
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| LDU de Quito | Leones del Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 2/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
LDU de Quito
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Leones del Norte
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
LDU de Quito face Leones del Norte in Liga Pro. LDU de Quito have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1 points per game). Leones del Norte have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (2.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing LDU de Quito, home advantage and superior chance creation make LDU de Quito to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for LDU de Quito, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Leones del Norte. Our top recommended betting pick is LDU de Quito Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado as part of the Liga Pro.
