FAW Championship · Friday, 20 Nov 2026
Caerphilly Athletic
Home
19:45
d ::
Venue TBC
llanelli AFC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
11%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caerphilly Athletic wins
0
Draws
0
llanelli AFC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
6%
60%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Caerphilly Athletic
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
llanelli AFC
last 7 away from home
0W
0D
7L
0.00
points a game
0.57
scored a game
4.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Caerphilly Athletic | llanelli AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Caerphilly Athletic
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
llanelli AFC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
10%
Behind
70%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Caerphilly Athletic |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |
llanelli AFC |
13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caerphilly Athletic face llanelli AFC in FAW Championship. Caerphilly Athletic have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). llanelli AFC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 22 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 83% probability backing Caerphilly Athletic, home advantage and superior chance creation make Caerphilly Athletic to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Caerphilly Athletic, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for llanelli AFC. Our top recommended betting pick is Caerphilly Athletic Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 20 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
