Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Ligue 1 · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Diambars
Home
16:30
d ::
Venue TBC
Stade de Mbour
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
61%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
21%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Diambars wins
0
Draws
0
Stade de Mbour wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
25%
20%
Attack
16%
86%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Diambars
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Stade de Mbour
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Diambars | Stade de Mbour | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 2/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Diambars
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Stade de Mbour
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Diambars face Stade de Mbour in Ligue 1. Diambars have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.6 points per game). Stade de Mbour have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 21% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
With evenly matched metrics (27% vs 12%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Diambars, a 61% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Stade de Mbour. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Ligue 1.
