Catarinense - 2 · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
Nação
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Caravaggio
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.84 - 2.35
Win probability
Home
6%
Draw
8%
Away
84%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Draw/Away
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nação wins
0
Draws
0
Caravaggio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
95%
80%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
6%
Win probability
84%
Home and away record
Nação
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Caravaggio
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Nação | Caravaggio | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 2/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 60% 3/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Nação
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Caravaggio
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nação face Caravaggio in Catarinense - 2. Nação have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1 points per game). Caravaggio have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
Caravaggio's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 84% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Caravaggio to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 6% win probability for Nação, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 84% probability for Caravaggio. Our top recommended betting pick is Caravaggio Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Catarinense - 2.
