Liga MX · Sunday, 19 Jul 2026
Guadalajara Chivas
Home
0-2
Full time
Estadio Akron
Toluca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
25%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guadalajara Chivas wins
0
Draws
0
Toluca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
16%
5%
Attack
50%
95%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
24%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tol Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Gua Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas face Toluca in Liga MX. Guadalajara Chivas have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 (1 points per game). Toluca have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Guadalajara Chivas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guadalajara Chivas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Guadalajara Chivas, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Toluca. Our top recommended betting pick is Guadalajara Chivas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 19 Jul 2026 at 01:07 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Akron as part of the Liga MX.
