Virsliga · Monday, 20 Jul 2026
FS Jelgava
Home
0-1
Full time
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Rīgas FS
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.99 - 2.11
Win probability
Home
12%
Draw
16%
Away
73%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
73%
1.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FS Jelgava wins
0
Draws
1
Rīgas FS wins
12 Jul 2026
Rīgas FS
2 - 0
FS Jelgava
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
86%
73%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
80%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
12%
Win probability
73%
Home and away record
FS Jelgava
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Rīgas FS
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
FS Jelgava
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
Rīgas FS
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
43%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
FS Jelgava face Rīgas FS in Virsliga. FS Jelgava have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Rīgas FS have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, FS Jelgava won 0, Rīgas FS won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Rīgas FS's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 73% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Rīgas FS to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 12% win probability for FS Jelgava, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 73% probability for Rīgas FS. Our top recommended betting pick is Rīgas FS Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 20 Jul 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs as part of the Virsliga.
