Virsliga · Monday, 20 Jul 2026
Super Nova
Home
2-0
Full time
Jana Skredela stadions
Grobiņa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
22%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Super Nova wins
0
Draws
0
Grobiņa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
75%
40%
Attack
41%
26%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Super Nova
last 3 at home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Grobiņa
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Super Nova | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Super Nova
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Grobiņa
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Super Nova face Grobiņa in Virsliga. Super Nova have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game). Grobiņa have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Super Nova, home advantage and superior chance creation make Super Nova to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Super Nova, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Grobiņa. Our top recommended betting pick is Super Nova Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 20 Jul 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions as part of the Virsliga.
