Copa Rio · Wednesday, 15 Jul 2026
América RJ
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Nova Iguaçu
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.59 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
37%
Draw
44%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
9%
Over 2.5
16%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.51
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
América RJ wins
0
Draws
0
Nova Iguaçu wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
5%
66%
Attack
33%
75%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
37%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
América RJ
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Nova Iguaçu
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
6.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| América RJ | Nova Iguaçu | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/4 | Both teams scored | 1/1 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
América RJ
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Nova Iguaçu
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Match Preview & Analysis
América RJ face Nova Iguaçu in Copa Rio. América RJ have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (1.5 points per game). Nova Iguaçu have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 9% and Both Teams to Score at 16%.
With evenly matched metrics (37% vs 19%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 37% win probability for América RJ, a 44% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Nova Iguaçu. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.51 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 16%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 15 Jul 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Copa Rio.
