Primera Nacional · Thursday, 27 Aug 2026
Central Norte
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Deportivo Moron
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
26%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Central Norte wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Moron wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
80%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
Central Norte
last 5 at home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.40
conceded a game
Deportivo Moron
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Central Norte | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Central Norte
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Deportivo Moron
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
38%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
| 14 |
Central Norte |
35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | -8 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Central Norte face Deportivo Moron in Primera Nacional. Central Norte have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Deportivo Moron have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Deportivo Moron's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Deportivo Moron to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Central Norte, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Deportivo Moron. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Moron Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 27 Aug 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena as part of the Primera Nacional.
