UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 21 Jul 2026
Sturm Graz
Home
4-0
Full time
Merkur Arena
Heart Of Midlothian
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sturm Graz wins
0
Draws
0
Heart Of Midlothian wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
50%
86%
Attack
50%
33%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Sturm Graz
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Heart Of Midlothian
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Sturm Graz | Heart Of Midlothian | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Sturm Graz
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Heart Of Midlothian
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sturm Graz face Heart Of Midlothian in UEFA Champions League. Sturm Graz have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 10 (2 points per game). Heart Of Midlothian have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Sturm Graz, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Heart Of Midlothian. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 21 Jul 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Merkur Arena as part of the UEFA Champions League.
