Serie B · Wednesday, 22 Jul 2026
Vila Nova
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Fortaleza EC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vila Nova wins
0
Draws
0
Fortaleza EC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
25%
Recent form
66%
25%
Attack
40%
50%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Vila Nova
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Fortaleza EC
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Vila Nova | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Vila Nova
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Fortaleza EC
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Vila Nova |
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 5 |
Fortaleza EC |
37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | +11 | 62 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vila Nova face Fortaleza EC in Serie B. Vila Nova have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.75 points per game). Fortaleza EC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Vila Nova, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vila Nova to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Vila Nova, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Fortaleza EC. Our top recommended betting pick is Vila Nova Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 22 Jul 2026 at 00:35 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga as part of the Serie B.
