Copa Rio · Wednesday, 22 Jul 2026
Nova Iguaçu
Home
1-1
Full time
Estádio Janio Moraes
América RJ
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
46%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
9%
Over 2.5
16%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Nova Iguaçu wins
0
Draws
0
América RJ wins
15 Jul 2026
América RJ
0 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
53%
5%
Defence
73%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
29%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Nova Iguaçu
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
América RJ
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Nova Iguaçu | América RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
Nova Iguaçu
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
América RJ
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nova Iguaçu face América RJ in Copa Rio. Nova Iguaçu have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (1.5 points per game). América RJ have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Nova Iguaçu won 1, América RJ won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 9% and Both Teams to Score at 16%.
With evenly matched metrics (29% vs 25%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Nova Iguaçu, a 46% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for América RJ. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 16%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 22 Jul 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Janio Moraes as part of the Copa Rio.
