Copa Rio · Wednesday, 22 Jul 2026
CFRJ / Maricá
Home
3-0
Full time
Alzirao
Pérolas Negras
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
19%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
CFRJ / Maricá wins
1
Draws
0
Pérolas Negras wins
15 Jul 2026
Pérolas Negras
0 - 0
CFRJ / Maricá
04 Jul 2026
CFRJ / Maricá
2 - 0
Pérolas Negras
Why this prediction
55%
Recent form
58%
33%
Attack
58%
89%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
CFRJ / Maricá
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Pérolas Negras
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| CFRJ / Maricá | Pérolas Negras | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
CFRJ / Maricá
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Pérolas Negras
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
CFRJ / Maricá face Pérolas Negras in Copa Rio. CFRJ / Maricá have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (1.67 points per game). Pérolas Negras have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.75 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, CFRJ / Maricá won 1, Pérolas Negras won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 19% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for CFRJ / Maricá, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Pérolas Negras. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 22 Jul 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at Alzirao as part of the Copa Rio.
