Major League Soccer · Wednesday, 22 Jul 2026
Philadelphia Union
Home
3-1
Full time
Subaru Park
New York Red Bulls
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
20%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Philadelphia Union wins
0
Draws
0
New York Red Bulls wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
14%
Team news
Philadelphia Union
No absences reported.
New York Red Bulls
- R. Donkor · Yellow Cards
- D. Nealis · Yellow Cards
- J. Che · Knee Injury
- J. Bazan · Yellow Cards
- A. Marcucci · Knee Injury
- M. Dos Santos · International duty
- R. Mosquera · International duty
- A. Mehmeti · International duty
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +14 | 50 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Philadelphia Union face New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer. We have no recent results on record for Philadelphia Union. We have no recent results on record for New York Red Bulls.
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 65% probability backing Philadelphia Union, home advantage and superior chance creation make Philadelphia Union to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Philadelphia Union, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for New York Red Bulls. Our top recommended betting pick is Philadelphia Union Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 22 Jul 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Subaru Park as part of the Major League Soccer.
