Serie B · Thursday, 23 Jul 2026
Athletic Club
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
São Bernardo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
25%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Athletic Club wins
0
Draws
0
São Bernardo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
13%
95%
Attack
26%
95%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Athletic Club
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
São Bernardo
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Athletic Club | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/7 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 86% 6/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Athletic Club
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
São Bernardo
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
| 14 |
Athletic Club |
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Athletic Club face São Bernardo in Serie B. Athletic Club have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 0 (2.2 points per game). São Bernardo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
São Bernardo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for São Bernardo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Athletic Club, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for São Bernardo. Our top recommended betting pick is São Bernardo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 23 Jul 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie B.
