1. Division · Friday, 24 Jul 2026
Shakhter Karagandy
Home
4-1
Full time
Shakhter Stadion
Arys
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.06
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
89%
1.06
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.41
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Shakhter Karagandy wins
0
Draws
0
Arys wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
50%
58%
Attack
50%
91%
Defence
16%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Shakhter Karagandy
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Arys
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Shakhter Karagandy | Arys | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 75% 3/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Shakhter Karagandy
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Arys
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shakhter Karagandy |
24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | +58 | 65 |
| 9 |
Arys |
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -13 | 27 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Shakhter Karagandy face Arys in 1. Division. Shakhter Karagandy have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 1 (3 points per game). Arys have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Shakhter Karagandy, home advantage and superior chance creation make Shakhter Karagandy to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Shakhter Karagandy, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Arys. Our top recommended betting pick is Shakhter Karagandy Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.41 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 24 Jul 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Shakhter Stadion as part of the 1. Division.
