First Division · Friday, 24 Jul 2026
Kerry
Home
2-1
Full time
Mounthawk Park
Finn Harps
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kerry wins
0
Draws
0
Finn Harps wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
33%
58%
Attack
16%
41%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Kerry
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Finn Harps
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Kerry | Finn Harps | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 100% 4/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Kerry
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Finn Harps
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Kerry |
33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Finn Harps |
33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -36 | 25 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Kerry face Finn Harps in First Division. Kerry have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.25 points per game). Finn Harps have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Kerry, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Finn Harps. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 24 Jul 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park as part of the First Division.
