UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 23 Jul 2026
Qarabag
Home
0-0
Full time
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
CSKA Sofia
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
95%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
92%
1.02
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
95%
Over 2.5
92%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Qarabag wins
0
Draws
0
CSKA Sofia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
75%
Recent form
66%
75%
Attack
53%
50%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Qarabag
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
CSKA Sofia
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Qarabag | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 75% 3/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Qarabag
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
0%
Behind
25%
CSKA Sofia
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Qarabag face CSKA Sofia in UEFA Europa League. Qarabag have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2.25 points per game). CSKA Sofia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 95% and Both Teams to Score at 92%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Qarabag, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for CSKA Sofia. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 92% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 23 Jul 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium as part of the UEFA Europa League.
