USL Championship · Thursday, 17 Sep 2026
Birmingham Legion
Home
4-4
Full time
Protective Stadium
New Mexico United
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
25%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Birmingham Legion wins
0
Draws
0
New Mexico United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
53%
66%
Attack
46%
13%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
52%
Home and away record
Birmingham Legion
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
New Mexico United
last 6 away from home
5W
1D
0L
2.67
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Birmingham Legion | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Birmingham Legion
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
90%
Behind
10%
New Mexico United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
New Mexico United |
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 11 |
Birmingham Legion |
28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Birmingham Legion face New Mexico United in USL Championship. Birmingham Legion have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 13 (0.4 points per game). New Mexico United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
New Mexico United's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for New Mexico United to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Birmingham Legion, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for New Mexico United. Our top recommended betting pick is New Mexico United Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Protective Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
