USL Championship · Thursday, 17 Sep 2026
Birmingham Legion
Home
4-4
Full time
Protective Stadium
New Mexico United
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
25%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Birmingham Legion wins
0
Draws
0
New Mexico United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
73%
60%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
52%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New New Mexico United | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 34 |
| 11 | Bir Birmingham Legion | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Birmingham Legion face New Mexico United in USL Championship. Birmingham Legion have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). New Mexico United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
New Mexico United's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for New Mexico United to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Birmingham Legion, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for New Mexico United. Our top recommended betting pick is New Mexico United Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 17 Sep 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Protective Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
