1. Division · Saturday, 25 Jul 2026
Smorgon
Home
2-0
Full time
Yunost Stadium
Gomel II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
26%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Smorgon wins
0
Draws
0
Gomel II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
77%
58%
Attack
95%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Smorgon
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Gomel II
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Smorgon | Gomel II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Smorgon
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Gomel II
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Smorgon |
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 |
Gomel II |
30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -20 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Smorgon face Gomel II in 1. Division. Smorgon have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Gomel II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Smorgon, home advantage and superior chance creation make Smorgon to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Smorgon, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Gomel II. Our top recommended betting pick is Smorgon Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 25 Jul 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Yunost Stadium as part of the 1. Division.
