Super League · Saturday, 25 Jul 2026
FC Luzern
Home
1-3
Full time
Swissporarena
FC Thun
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
19%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Luzern wins
0
Draws
0
FC Thun wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
75%
Recent form
22%
75%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
55%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
FC Luzern
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
FC Thun
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| FC Luzern | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 3/3 100% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
FC Luzern
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
FC Thun
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Luzern face FC Thun in Super League. FC Luzern have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2.25 points per game). FC Thun have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 77%.
With a 50% probability backing FC Luzern, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Luzern to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for FC Luzern, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for FC Thun. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Luzern Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 77% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 25 Jul 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Swissporarena as part of the Super League.
