Serie D · Saturday, 25 Jul 2026
Iguatu
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello
Nacional AM
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
27%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Iguatu wins
1
Draws
0
Nacional AM wins
18 Jul 2026
Nacional AM
1 - 1
Iguatu
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
29%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Iguatu
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Nacional AM
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Iguatu | Nacional AM | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 100% 5/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Iguatu
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Nacional AM
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Iguatu face Nacional AM in Serie D. Iguatu have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Nacional AM have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Iguatu won 0, Nacional AM won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Nacional AM's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Nacional AM to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Iguatu, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Nacional AM. Our top recommended betting pick is Nacional AM Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 25 Jul 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello as part of the Serie D.
