Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 25 Jul 2026
Deportivo Merlo
Home
1-2
Full time
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Villa San Carlos
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
0
Draws
0
Villa San Carlos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Deportivo Merlo
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Villa San Carlos
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Deportivo Merlo | Villa San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
Deportivo Merlo
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Villa San Carlos
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Villa San Carlos |
40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | -3 | 50 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Merlo face Villa San Carlos in Primera B Metropolitana. Deportivo Merlo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Villa San Carlos have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Deportivo Merlo, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Villa San Carlos. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 25 Jul 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
