Primera B Metropolitana · Friday, 24 Jul 2026
Ituzaingó
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio Carlos Sacaan
Sportivo Italiano
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
28%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ituzaingó wins
0
Draws
0
Sportivo Italiano wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
73%
20%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Ituzaingó
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Sportivo Italiano
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Ituzaingó | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Ituzaingó
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Sportivo Italiano
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Sportivo Italiano |
41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | +14 | 69 |
| 22 |
Ituzaingó |
41 | 1 | 14 | 26 | -39 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ituzaingó face Sportivo Italiano in Primera B Metropolitana. Ituzaingó have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.2 points per game). Sportivo Italiano have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
With a 57% probability backing Ituzaingó, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ituzaingó to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Ituzaingó, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Sportivo Italiano. Our top recommended betting pick is Ituzaingó Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 24 Jul 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
