Primera A · Saturday, 17 Oct 2026
Chico
Home
20:00
d ::
Estadio La Independencia
Atletico Nacional
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 2.06
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
17%
Away
71%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
62%
1.52
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chico wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Nacional wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
71%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Atletico Nacional |
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 23 |
| 14 |
Chico |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chico face Atletico Nacional in Primera A. Chico have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Atletico Nacional have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Atletico Nacional's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 71% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Atletico Nacional to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Chico, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 71% probability for Atletico Nacional. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Nacional Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 17 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia as part of the Primera A.
