Serie A · Saturday, 25 Jul 2026
Santos
Home
2-2
Full time
Vila Belmiro
Chapecoense-sc
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Santos wins
0
Draws
0
Chapecoense-sc wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
5%
66%
Attack
5%
46%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Santos
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Chapecoense-sc
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Santos | Chapecoense-sc | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 100% 5/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 2/2 100% |
At half time
Santos
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Chapecoense-sc
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Santos |
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc |
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Santos face Chapecoense-sc in Serie A. Santos have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Chapecoense-sc have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 6 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Santos, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Chapecoense-sc. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 25 Jul 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Vila Belmiro as part of the Serie A.
