USL Championship · Saturday, 25 Jul 2026
Miami FC
Home
2-3
Full time
Riccardo Silva Stadium
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.71
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
25%
Away
55%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Miami FC wins
0
Draws
0
Tampa Bay Rowdies wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
44%
66%
Attack
44%
53%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
55%
Home and away record
Miami FC
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Tampa Bay Rowdies
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Miami FC | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Miami FC
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies |
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +24 | 58 |
| 8 |
Miami FC |
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Miami FC face Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship. Miami FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Tampa Bay Rowdies's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 55% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Tampa Bay Rowdies to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Miami FC, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 55% probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies. Our top recommended betting pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 25 Jul 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
