Major League Soccer · Saturday, 25 Jul 2026
New York City FC
Home
3-1
Full time
Yankee Stadium
Chicago Fire
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
21%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
New York City FC wins
0
Draws
0
Chicago Fire wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
5%
66%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
New York City FC
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Chicago Fire
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
1 matches.
| New York City FC | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 1/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Both teams scored | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
New York City FC
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Chicago Fire
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Chicago Fire |
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | +10 | 55 |
| 11 |
New York City FC |
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
New York City FC face Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer. New York City FC have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (3 points per game). Chicago Fire have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 47% probability backing New York City FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make New York City FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for New York City FC, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Chicago Fire. Our top recommended betting pick is New York City FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 25 Jul 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium as part of the Major League Soccer.
