USL Championship · Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
FC Tulsa
Home
0-0
Full time
ONEOK Field
Lexington
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Tulsa wins
0
Draws
0
Lexington wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
50%
33%
Attack
75%
44%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
FC Tulsa
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Lexington
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| FC Tulsa | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
FC Tulsa
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Lexington
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Lexington |
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +18 | 47 |
| 6 |
FC Tulsa |
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Tulsa face Lexington in USL Championship. FC Tulsa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Lexington have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing FC Tulsa, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Tulsa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for FC Tulsa, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Lexington. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Tulsa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 26 Jul 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at ONEOK Field as part of the USL Championship.
