League One · Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
Guangxi Hengchen
Home
4-4
Full time
Guangxi Sports Center
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
15%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guangxi Hengchen wins
0
Draws
0
Heilongjiang Lava Spring wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
16%
89%
Attack
50%
77%
Defence
16%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
79%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Guangxi Hengchen
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Guangxi Hengchen | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Guangxi Hengchen
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Guangxi Hengchen |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +14 | 45 |
| 13 |
Heilongjiang Lava Spring |
24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -11 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guangxi Hengchen face Heilongjiang Lava Spring in League One. Guangxi Hengchen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (3 points per game). Heilongjiang Lava Spring have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 79% probability backing Guangxi Hengchen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guangxi Hengchen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Guangxi Hengchen, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Our top recommended betting pick is Guangxi Hengchen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 26 Jul 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Guangxi Sports Center as part of the League One.
