Friendlies Clubs · Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
Ajax
Home
2-1
Full time
Johan Cruijff Arena
Burnley
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
9%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ajax wins
0
Draws
0
Burnley wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
11%
53%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
11%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Team news
Ajax
- S. Adingra · Lacking Match Fitness
- Caio Henrique · Thigh Injury
- K. Dolberg · Knee Injury
- A. Gaaei · Injury
- O. Edvardsen · Inactive
- S. Berghuis · Injury
- D. Blind · Back Injury
- A. Bouwman · Knock
Burnley
- A. Barnes · Inactive
- J. Beyer · Hamstring Injury
- B. Humphreys · Muscle Injury
- H. Mejbri · Hamstring Injury
- D. Satpaev · Inactive
- J. Bruun Larsen · Injury
- M. Obafemi · Inactive
- S. Sambo · Inactive
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Ajax
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Burnley
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Ajax | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 3/3 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Ajax
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Burnley
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ajax face Burnley in Friendlies Clubs. Ajax have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Burnley have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing Ajax, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ajax to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Ajax, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Burnley. Our top recommended betting pick is Ajax Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 26 Jul 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena as part of the Friendlies Clubs.
